Showing posts with label canadian taxpayers federation. Show all posts
Showing posts with label canadian taxpayers federation. Show all posts

Saturday, November 15, 2008

Selling on the lows, part 2

This is a continuation of my last post on Conservative finance minister Jim Flaherty's plan to sell government assets now, after a historic crash in asset prices, to balance the federal government budget during the coming global recession.

It looks like Prime Minister Stephen Harper has had to backtrack, according to this report from The Canadian Press on ctv.ca:

Prime Minister Stephen Harper insisted Friday there will be no fire sale after his finance minister, Jim Flaherty, said the government is considering an asset sale to raise cash and try and stave off a budget deficit. "The government of Canada will never engage in a fire sale of assets," Harper said prior to heading off to Washington for an emergency summit of global leaders on the economy.

But I think wasn't hard for the CP reporter to find people with credentials to agree that the Conservatives have a bad idea:

"It's hard to believe this is an ideal environment to sell any asset," said Bank of Montreal economist Douglas Porter. "And it raises the bigger issue of just how hard should the federal government press to keep its books balanced. My view is if it comes down to selling the family silver at a discount rate just to make the books balance, that doesn't make sense."

Scott Brison, the new opposition finance critic just appointed by Stephane Dion, is a pretty sensible and knowledgeable fellow:

Brison said Canadians should be especially concerned because Flaherty was finance minister in Ontario when the provincial Conservative government of former premier Mike Harris sold the electronic toll Highway 407 north of Toronto for $3.1 billion in 1999. Three years later, a private investment bank valued the property at four times the sale price. "After three years of bad tax policy, and big spending, Flaherty has put the country in deficit. Now he wants to sell the house to pay for the groceries," said Brison.

There are still groups with tunnel vision, though. The CP reporter was able to count on the Canadian Taxpayer's Federation (CTF) for this quote:

Adam Taylor of the Canadian Taxpayers Federation said the government should do whatever it needs to -- including selling assets -- to balance the budget. "The government owns things that have no strategic value to Canadians and they could be sold," he said. "Property values haven't completely bottomed out and when the government owns thousands upon thousands of acres, there's a legitimate argument for selling a lot of it."

If Mr. Taylor really meant what he said (do whatever it needs to...to balance the budget), he'd advise the government to also consider the possibility of raising taxes (or rescinding promised tax cuts). But that's the last thing the CTF would ever say, so they can't be that serious about balancing the budget, especially since they've been applauding the various tax cuts that helped get us to our current fiscal position.
There are, moreover, a lot of economists who are questioning the rationale for balancing the budget right now (and I agree with them). In a severe recession, balancing the budget may come only at the price of a lot of pain for economically vulnerable Canadians, and reduce the number of options the government has to manage the economy and plan for its eventual recovery.
I see that Mr. Taylor is a market-timer who thinks he knows that, after a sale sometime in 2009 or 2010, property prices will continue to fall. If that's so obvious, I'd challenge the CTF to open a trading account, put its money where its mouth is, and sell some S&P Case-Schiller home price index futures on Jan 1, 2009. Hey guys, bet the house because maybe you'll be right!
Finally, the whole idea of balancing the budget by selling assets is based on their being valued on the government books at old, below-market prices. Any revenue you get from their sale is purely accounting revenue - not real added value for Canadian taxpayers.

Tuesday, August 19, 2008

Good news for the Green Shift from the Canadian Taxpayer's Federation

The Canadian Taxpayer's Federation (CTF) released yesterday a "Green Shift impact analysis for Ontario Businesses". They said that new costs of $1.5 billion per year would be paid by 111 power plants and that tax cuts of $811 million would be shared by 365,649 Ontario businesses.

Why is this good news for the Green Shift?

If you look a little more carefully than they did at their own figures, you'll see that about three quarters of the extra tax paid is accounted for by the four coal burning power plants of Ontario Pwer Generation, owned by the people of Ontario.

But the McGuinty government's plan is to phase out these coal plants! A lot of the slack will be taken up by conservation and renewable energy. The Green Shift contains business tax breaks for using green technologies (accelerated depreciation) and a 25% refundable science, research and experimental development credit.

Furthermore, Ontario Power Generation's take of the federal income tax cut would be insignificant (OPG's annual report for 2007 shows income before taxes of $477M and $576M for 2007 and 2006 respectively) compared to all the businesses operating in the province.

So, very roughly but not so much more rough than the Canadian Taxpayer Federation analysis I would say, after the coal plants are shut down (or stop burning coal - there are plans to use biomass to fuel them) the carbon tax paid by the companies than own Ontario power plants would be about $380M while the business tax cuts would still be about $800M (and this economic stimulus does not include the stimulus from developing the green energy sector).

It is interesting to note that while publically owned Ontario Power Generation's plants occupy positions 1,2,4,5,6 on CTF's top greenhouse gas producers list, position 3 is occupied by a plant owned by TransAlta Corp., an Alberta company; position 7 is occupied by Exxon Mobil, the US based corporation; and in position 8, ATCO, is an Alberta company. So some of the private businesses the CTF is shedding tears for aren't even Ontario based businesses.